Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Stats of the Day: Keeping the Pirates at Bay

Joe Borowski heads to the DL today, opening up speculation on the new closer in Cleveland. This has been a topic of discussion all season. If Rafael Betancourt continues his early season struggles, take a look at Masa Kobayashi or Jorge Julio.

PittsburghABRHRBIBBSOLOBAVG
Bay, LF5000034.250

Jason Bay continues his on-again/off-again season, striking out three times yesterday. While his contact hasn't been great (striking out about 30% of the time), he has thrived in the past while striking near this rate. The key to Bay's success while striking out this much is his ability to hit the ball hard.

So far this season, Bay has 11 hits with a double and 3 home runs. He isn't exactly mashing the ball, but he is hitting for some power. Last year in April and May he hit .310 with 8 home runs only to slump through the remainder of the season, ending up with a .247 average. The only apparent reason for his abysmal production was a bad knee that was limiting him at the plate and in the field.

Bay did undergo knee surgery in the offseason so if he is healthy again he could produce close to 2005. The steals aren't going to be coming back, so don't expect double digits there. Still, Bay could hit above .275 with 25 home runs. Good production, but not what many expected from Bay before his terrible 2007. Don't expect much more than that and accept his streakiness and you won't be entirely disappointed by Jason Bay.


DetroitIPHRERBBSOHRERA
Bonderman 6.18742504.58

Jeremy Bonderman was a very popular breakout target and was drafted in early rounds last year after striking out 202 batters in 2006. So far this year he has only struck out 8 batters while walking 8 in 17 innings.

Bonderman had his season derailed last year by an elbow injury and had soreness in it through spring. It looks like whatever was ailing him in his elbow is still present as evidenced by the spotty control. While Bonderman still has the potential to be an ace with such elite strikeout numbers in the past, this may be potential that goes forever wasted. Expect a DL stint in his future if he doesn't start striking more people out.

No comments: